2002 Berkshire Hathaway Annual Meeting
Lessons from this meeting:
- Don’t Cling to Obsolete Models
- Blue Chip Stamps: $120 M→$46 K because they never modernized redemption.
- Always ask, “Am I still solving customers’ problems the way they want?”
- Shareholders Can Be Philanthropists
- Investors who concentrate on Berkshire then donate proceeds (like Cleveland trips or the Othmers’ $750 M) amplify impact.
- Berkshire’s culture → more owners giving back.
- If You Want Pharma, Buy the Whole Basket
- Health care as a group has earned great returns, but picking single names is a crapshoot.
- Valuations too rich? Wait or use an index/fund.
- Owning the Brand Beats Owning the Factory
- Coke syrup (trademark) yields higher returns than capital-hungry bottling.
- Leverage in bottlers is fine—but it just delivers “decent,” not “extraordinary,” profits.
- Accounting Is Just a Starting Point
- Don’t take GAAP at face value—adjust pension assumptions, non-cash charges, goodwill, etc., to reflect true economics.
- New “no-amortization” goodwill rules align perfectly with Buffett’s long-time view.
- Beware “Cultural Drift,” Not Just Bad Incentives
- General Re hiccups weren’t due to pay plans but to lax underwriting discipline.
- Key lesson: Keep incentives rational, but never lose your underwriting compass.
- Stock Options Need a True Cost-of-Capital Charge
- Late-career CEO grants without a hurdle rate are “demented” and “immoral.”
- If you do grant options, embed a real cost-of-capital benchmark or repurchase trigger.
- Float ≠ Free Money—Price Every Underwriting Like an Investment
- $37 B float won’t force you into junk bonds—Berkshire’s scale + external earnings give flexibility.
- “Cheap capital” only works if you price risk vs. return; walk away in soft markets.
- Ignore Macro Noise—Value Is in Future Cash Flows
- Gold prices, Fed moves, bubbles: none change what a business actually produces over time.
- Always ask, “Would I still own this if markets closed for five years?”
- Stay in Your Circle—When in Doubt, Sit It Out
- Only invest where you truly understand the economics (if you can’t explain it simply, it’s outside your circle).
- For novel or fast-changing sectors, demand a wider margin of safety—or skip it.
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