1997 Berkshire Hathaway Annual Meeting
Lessons from this meeting:
- Intrinsic Value Is Future Cash Flows
- Estimate a business’s owner cash flows over its lifetime and discount them at the risk-free rate.
- Compare the result to its price—buy only when there’s a meaningful margin of safety.
- Filter for Understandable Businesses
- Invest only in companies whose economics and competitive moats you can clearly grasp.
- Avoid industries where technological or regulatory change makes cash-flow forecasts unreliable.
- Concentrate via Opportunity Cost
- Rank all potential investments against your best idea—if it isn’t superior, pass.
- A focused portfolio of top convictions beats diversifying into mediocre names.
- Use Treasuries as the Discount Yardstick
- The government bond rate is your baseline “hurdle” for present-valuing any asset.
- Even if you never buy bonds, they set the cost of capital for all comparative valuations.
- Float Is Cheap, But Not Free
- Insurance premiums held (“float”) fund investments—earn more than the cost of claims.
- Underwrite only when pricing makes sense; sit out soft markets rather than chase volume.
- Decentralize & Empower Subsidiaries
- Let each business unit make its own operational and policy decisions.
- Headquarters allocates capital and sets capital-charge hurdles, but trusts local managers.
- Retain Earnings Only If You’ll Beat Payout
- Keep cash only when you can deploy it for better returns than shareholders could get themselves.
- Otherwise, return capital via dividends or share buybacks—no point in hoarding idle cash.
- Share of Mind > Share of Market
- Strong consumer brands (Coke, Disney) own durable “real estate” in billions of minds.
- Premium pricing and global scale follow from top-of-mind awareness, not just shelf-space.
- Learn from Others’ Mistakes & Your Omissions
- Study big losses and missed opportunities; most Buffett regrets are not buying more of great companies.
- Cultivate intellectual humility—vicarious learning beats repeating your own errors.
- Ignore Macro Noise; Focus on Business Fundamentals
- Fed moves, fund flows or trade deficits don’t change what the company itself produces.
- Evaluate each stock as if the market closed for five years—would you still buy it?
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